BNN Market Call – Michael Sprung’s Top Picks and Outlook

Market Outlook:

Despite a strong start in January, global stock markets became unnerved in the latter part of the first quarter of 2018. Rising trade tensions contributed to the unease investors exhibited as the US took a stronger stance on bilateral trade negotiations through the enactment of targeted tariffs. In addition, inflation and rising interest rates caused concern amongst investors. The dominant technology stocks that had been largely contributing to the markets’ advance came under pressure as political scrutiny prompted calls for greater regulation in the industry.

Michael Sprung, BNN, Market Call - Top Picks: Enercare, ECI, Royal Bank, RY, Vermillion Energy, VET

Michael Sprung on BNN’s Market Call – Top Picks: Enercare, ECI, Royal Bank, RY, Vermillion Energy, VET

Whether or not the above factors are indicative of a protracted market downturn remains to be seen. Certainly we have been of the opinion that valuations have been stretched following ten years of market advances. In this environment, value rather than momentum will become more important in stock selection. Investors should continue to seek well financed, well managed companies that are selling at attractive price levels.

Top Picks:

Royal Bank, RY-T, Owned personally and by clients, Last purchase September 16, 2016, $80.55
The Royal Bank is Canada’s largest financial institution that ranks within the largest twenty banks in the world with extensive domestic and wealth operations as well as global banking, capital markets, custody and brokerage networks. Highly profitable domestic operations are funding both domestic and global expansion as well as greater returns to shareholders. In the most recent quarter, the dividend was increased by 3%. With the recent pullback in the price of the stock, the yield is currently 3.9%.

Vermillion Energy Inc., VET-T, owned personally and by clients, Last purchase March 2, 2018, $40.85
Vermilion Energy has interests in oil and gas producing properties in Western Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands and Australia as well as a substantial non-operated interest in the Corrib natural gas field off the northwest coast of Ireland. Vermilion is well managed with a solid balance sheet. At today’s commodity prices, Vermilion generates free cash flow that supports the current yield of 6.3%. The dividend was recently increased by 7% to $0.23/month. Its geographically diversified operations should contribute to a growing production profile over the next few years.

Enercare Inc., ECI-T, Owned personally and by clients, Last purchase March 7, 2018, $18.16
Enercare is a leading provider of water heaters, water treatment, furnaces, air conditioners and other HVAC rental products, plumbing services, protection plans and related services. With operations in Canada and the United States, Enercare serves approximately 1.6 million customers annually. Enercare is also the largest non-utility sub-meter provider, with electricity, water, thermal and gas metering contracts for condominium and apartment suites in Canada and through its Triacta brand, a premier designer and manufacturer of advanced sub-meters and sub-metering solutions. With the recent increase in the dividend by 4% to $0.0832/month, the stock yields 5.8% at current prices.

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The opinions expressed here are ours alone. They are provided for information purposes only and are not tailored to the needs of any particular individual or company, are not an endorsement, recommendation, or sponsorship of any entity or security, and do not constitute investment advice. We strongly recommend that you seek advice from a qualified investment advisor before making any investment decision.

 

Top Stock Picks — BNN Market Call

Top Stock Picks:

Bank of Nova Scotia, BNS-T, Owned by clients and personally, Last Purchase March 4 2016 $58.75

The Bank of Nova Scotia is the most international of the Canadian banks with branches in the Caribbean, Central and South America. In the most recent quarter, provisions for credit losses were up substantially, particularly with respect to the energy sector. Given BNS’s presence in markets with large commodity exposures, its premium valuation has fallen to a level investors should find more compelling. The dividend yield is now greater than 4.5%

Vermillion Energy Inc., VET-T, Owned by clients, Last Purchase March 24 2016 $43.31

Vermillion Energy has interests in oil and gas producing properties in Western Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands and Australia as well as a substantial non-operated interest in the Corrib natural gas field off the northwest coast of Ireland. Vermillion is well managed with a solid balance sheet. At today’s commodity prices, Vermillion generates free cash flow that supports the current yield of 6%. Its geographically diversified operations should contribute to a growing production profile over the next few years.

Fortis Inc., FTS-T, Owned by clients, Last Purchase March 24 2016 $40.08

Fortis is the largest investor owned gas and electric distribution utility in Canada with operations in the US and Belize. Over the next few years, Fortis is expected to significantly increase its rate base. Two years ago, Fortis completed a transformational acquisition of UNS in Arizona. This year, the Company is engaged in another major acquisition of ITC Holdings Corp., the largest independent fully-regulated electric transmission company in the US for $11.3 billion. This will be another transformational exercise that will enhance regulatory diversity and significantly increase the geographic footprint of operations and create opportunities to enhance shareholder value.

Michael Sprung BNN Market Call Interview Market Outlook Top Stock Picks

Michael Sprung BNN Market Call Interview: Outlook and Top Stock Picks

Outlook:

North American markets have continued to advance thus far in the year at an erratic and slow pace. It is as if investors are climbing an ever steeper wall of worry as the year advances despite some positive economic news. Housing and automobile sales have proved resilient as the employment picture in the US has improved. Yet, after significant recovery since the 2008 financial crisis, investors are focusing more and more on the potential negatives on the horizon. In particular, a great deal of concern has been centered on the Federal Reserve’s intentions to either raise interest rates or leave them at the current historically low levels. In this regard, the authorities face a conundrum. Raising rates would send a signal that the economy is strong enough to contemplate a normalization of the rate structure. On the other hand, the tepid pace of the recovery with the substantial increases in debt levels (largely enticed by low interest rates), combined with the very strong current value of the US dollar, creates the fear that any increase in rates could stall the economy.

In addition, a growing political backlash against globilization and free trade is evident in both Europe and the US. More immediate concerns are also growing over the implications of a possible Brexit (Britain leaving the European Union) that will be decided in a referendum in two weeks time. In Asia, massive debt levels within the shadow banking system in China are also making investors nervous. The fact that Japan deferred a sales tax increase also indicates that that economy continues to languish.

After a number of years of expansion fueled by debt, we could be entering a period of deleveraging that will stall global economic growth for a period and potentially caused markets to decline and volatility to increase. Investors should be prepared to take advantage in these circumstances to invest in well financed, well managed companies.

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We believe that investment management is about managing risk, not chasing speculative returns. Like to learn more? Please contact us here>>

The opinions expressed here are ours alone. They are provided for information purposes only and are not tailored to the needs of any particular individual or company, are not an endorsement, recommendation, or sponsorship of any entity or security, and do not constitute investment advice. We strongly recommend that you seek advice from a qualified investment advisor before making any investment decision.